Penn St
W-L: (11-19) PR = 95.4732Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 83-55 1107 A Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 82-77 1112 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 90-62 1116 A St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 89-77 1122 H Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 93-** 1124 A San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 83-67 1130 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 82-64 1206 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 83-** 1209 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 60-74 1214 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 55-95 1220 A VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 78-66 1221 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 54-70 1228 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 76-99 1231 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 61-97 104 H Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 73-74 108 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 65-** 111 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 76-92 114 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 84-** 114 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 84-** 118 H Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 72-76 121 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 65-81 124 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 59-89 128 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 66-87 204 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 85-82 207 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 70-81 212 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 62-81 215 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 81-71 221 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 87-78 225 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 85-82 228 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 59-93
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Bucknell 83-55 28 3 0.00
1107 A Cincinnati 82-77 5 1 1.29
1112 A Coppin St 90-62 28 4 0.00
1116 A St Joseph's 89-77 12 1 1.37
1122 H Princeton 93-** -7 -1 -0.83
1124 A San Diego St 83-67 16 0 + 2.02
1130 A Yale 82-64 18 3 0.00
1206 H Nebraska 83-** -18 -1 -1.14
1209 H Arizona St 60-74 -14 -1 -1.29
1214 H So Carolina 55-95 -40 -4 0.00
1220 A VCU 78-66 12 2 0.03
1221 H Richmond 54-70 -16 0 -1.55
1228 H Iowa 76-99 -23 -2 0.00
1231 H UCLA 61-97 -36 -4 0.00
104 H Wisconsin 73-74 -1 0 -0.90
108 H Michigan 65-** -40 -3 0.00
111 H Illinois 76-92 -16 -1 -0.78
114 H Ohio St 84-** -24 -2 0.00
114 H Ohio St 84-** -24 -2 0.00
118 H Rutgers 72-76 -4 1 - -2.93
121 H Washington 65-81 -16 -2 -0.50
124 H Oregon 59-89 -30 -2 -0.46
128 H Minnesota 66-87 -21 -2 -0.22
204 A Purdue 85-82 3 0 + 2.09
207 H Michigan St 70-81 -11 -2 -0.29
212 H Maryland 62-81 -19 -2 -0.26
215 A Northwestern 81-71 10 1 1.27
221 A Rutgers 87-78 9 1 1.09
225 A USC 85-82 3 -1 + 3.38
228 H Indiana 59-93 -34 -1 -1.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 118 H Rutgers 72-76 -4 1 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 A San Diego St 83-67 16 0 + 2.02 204 A Purdue 85-82 3 0 + 2.09 225 A USC 85-82 3 -1 + 3.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 83-55 -7.49 3.47 0.01 1.01 7.04
3 A Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 82-77 -5.14 5.82 0.01 1.01 11.79
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 90-62 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.01 5.72
3 A St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 89-77 -5.07 5.89 0.01 1.01 11.94
3 H Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 93-** -3.24 7.72 -0.01 1.01 -1.65
3 A San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 83-67 -4.42 6.54 0.01 1.01 13.25
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 82-64 -7.41 3.55 0.01 1.01 7.20
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 83-** -3.55 7.41 -0.01 1.01 -1.80
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 60-74 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 1.01 -1.88
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 55-95 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 1.01 -0.38
3 A VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 78-66 -6.40 4.56 0.01 1.01 9.24
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 54-70 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.01
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 76-99 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 1.01 -0.98
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 61-97 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 1.01 -0.01
3 H Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 73-74 -4.32 6.64 -0.01 1.01 -2.19
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 65-** -1.86 9.10 -0.01 1.01 -0.94
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 76-92 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 1.01 -1.62
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 84-** -1.98 8.98 -0.01 1.01 -1.01
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 84-** -1.98 8.98 -0.01 1.01 -1.01
3 H Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 72-76 -5.35 5.61 -0.01 1.01 -2.71
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 65-81 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 1.01 -1.48
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 59-89 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 1.01 -1.46
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 66-87 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 1.01 -1.34
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 85-82 -4.34 6.62 0.01 1.01 13.41
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 70-81 -2.71 8.25 -0.01 1.01 -1.37
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 62-81 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 1.01 -1.36
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 81-71 -5.16 5.80 0.01 1.01 11.75
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 87-78 -5.35 5.61 0.01 1.01 11.38
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 85-82 -3.05 7.91 0.01 1.01 16.02
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 59-93 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 1.01 -1.93
------
91.59
|
winning pts = 118.7268 losing points = -27.1340
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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